The wider market

Where the market's headed

Direction is read province-wide. A single city swings too much month to month to trend reliably — a handful of unusual sales can move its numbers several percent with nothing having actually changed.

Ontario · All home types · July 2026

Buyer's market, steady

Looser than a normal July, and holding roughly where it was a year ago.

Benchmark price
-3.9%
MLS® HPI, year over year
Months of Inventory
4.5
1.45× the long-run 3.1 → buyer's
Inventory vs Last year
-4.3%
4.5 mo vs 4.7 → steady

Housing Market Gains Strength as Sales Rise and Supply Tightens

The Southern Ontario housing market is entering the second half of the year on steadier footing. Sellers pulled back from listing this summer while buyer activity held firm, leaving fewer homes available and a more balanced market than we saw in the spring. With borrowing costs stable and the economy improving, conditions are quietly setting up for a more active fall.

  • Supply

    New listings pulled back noticeably this summer while sales held steady, leaving buyers with a smaller pool of homes to choose from than they had earlier in the year.

  • Prices

    Prices remain below last year's levels, but the pace of change has eased and the benchmark ticked up over the month — an early sign the market may be finding its footing.

  • Buyers

    Buyers still have meaningful choice and negotiating room, though that window narrows if the current supply trend holds through the fall.

  • Condos

    The condo market remains the softest segment, making it the most negotiable — and the most compelling for first-time buyers and long-term investors.

  • Rates

    The Bank of Canada has held its rate steady for six consecutive meetings, and with inflation easing and employment growing, buyers finally have predictable borrowing costs to plan around.

Since 1996

The long view

Prices Corrected 28% from the February 2022 peak, then stabilized. The long-run trendline still points up.

Disclaimer. This chart is provided for informational and illustrative purposes only and should not be considered financial, investment, or real estate advice. The trendline is a statistical fit to historical data and is not a forecast; historical performance is not a guarantee of future market results. A price below the long-term trend reflects a valuation relationship at a point in time and is not a signal that prices have reached a low. Real estate values are influenced by numerous economic, demographic, and policy factors that may cause actual outcomes to differ from historical patterns, and individual properties, neighbourhoods, and housing types may perform materially differently from the overall market. Data source: TRREB (Toronto Regional Real Estate Board) Market Watch Reports — detached home median prices, January 1996 to July 2026.**

The numbers behind it

Market factors

The commentary above reads these. Here they are on their own.

Bank of Canada Rate
2.25%
Held for six consecutive meetings
5-Year Fixed
3.94%
Up 0.06 pp from July · PLACEHOLDER
5-Year Variable
3.45%
Down 0.10 pp from July · PLACEHOLDER
Ontario Unemployment Rate
7.0%
Unchanged since May
Housing Starts
+18%
Year over year, up from +14% last month
Real GDP growth
0.5%
April 2026, up from +0.2% in March
Your local market

Detached homes in Brampton

Everything for your own city and property type, in one place.

Benchmark price
$1.16M
Days to sell
24
Months of supply
4.3
Mississauga Detached

12-month rolling

Year over year

Month over month

Year Prior
Current
New listings and sales

Demand supply, 13-month rolling

For sale
Sold
New
See Brampton's monthly data
Period
New
Active
Sold
Months

Both charts are smoothed. A single month in one city moves too much to read on its own — the rolling view shows the shape without the noise.

Past 12 months

How your city compares

Market Performance by Region (Past 12 months. Median Price of Detached Home)

What this means for you

Three ways to read this

If you're selling

Supply is the tightest it's been this year, so you're competing with fewer listings than in January. Pricing to the benchmark rather than to the 2022 peak is what gets offers.

What would mine sell for? →
If you're buying

Prices are still below last year while rates have held for five meetings. That combination doesn't usually last long once sales volume picks up.

See what I can afford →
If you're holding

Nothing here calls for action. Worth knowing where your equity sits, particularly if you're within a couple of years of a renewal.

Check my equity →
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